Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Strome 47.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 77.9%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 68.3%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 75.9%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Wheeler
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Wheeler
Strome
Last 6: Wheeler 5-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
1
Wheeler
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
47.8% (813)
+2.8%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
56.4% (133)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
32.7% (98)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Wheeler has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. Strome is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Strome
Home
52.8% (352)
47.5% (535)
Away
46.3% (300)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Wheeler
Strome
P1
46.8%
46.4%
P2
57.7%
48.3%
P3
44.8%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |