Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Backes wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Strome 47.9% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 53.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 53.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Backes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Backes
Strome
Last 8: Backes 4-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
47.4% (635)
+8.3%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
57.4% (61)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
40.8% (71)
-0.8%
On even strength, Backes has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backes is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Backes shoots right. Strome is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Backes
Strome
Home
55.9% (188)
50.7% (341)
Away
58.7% (121)
45.1% (426)
By Period
Backes
Strome
P1
53.0%
47.5%
P2
56.6%
48.4%
P3
60.8%
46.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | David Backes |