Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Strome 44.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 52.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 81.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 70.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Brassard
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Brassard
Strome
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
3
Brassard
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
43.0% (788)
+6.6%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
47.9% (96)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
50.0% (34)
+0.0%
On even strength, Brassard has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Brassard
Strome
Home
51.7% (143)
42.6% (486)
Away
48.3% (143)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Brassard
Strome
P1
46.4%
41.0%
P2
50.6%
47.8%
P3
53.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |