Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Strome
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Strome 42.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 79.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Gaudreau
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Gaudreau
Strome
Last 5: Gaudreau 4-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
0
Gaudreau
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
41.2% (1,040)
+8.0%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
43.0% (151)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
51.4% (35)
-5.4%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Strome
Home
47.1% (546)
40.1% (581)
Away
49.4% (551)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Gaudreau
Strome
P1
46.8%
41.4%
P2
46.8%
42.9%
P3
51.1%
40.5%
OT
40.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |