Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McKegg wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 50.8% vs Strome 47.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 66.4%
Defensive zone
McKegg 53.8%
Neutral zone
McKegg 71.1%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
McKegg
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
McKegg
Strome
Last 9: McKegg 7-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
4
1
McKegg
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (281)
47.4% (635)
+4.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
57.4% (61)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.8% (71)
-40.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McKegg is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
McKegg shoots left. Strome is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
McKegg
Strome
Home
51.1% (133)
50.7% (341)
Away
51.0% (153)
45.1% (426)
By Period
McKegg
Strome
P1
48.9%
47.5%
P2
48.9%
48.4%
P3
54.9%
46.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |