Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.4% vs 43.2%). Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Strome 44.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 61.2%
Defensive zone
McCann 50.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 69.0%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
McCann
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McCann
Strome
Last 8: McCann 5-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
McCann
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (106)
41.9% (626)
+1.5%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
50.0% (76)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
51.2% (41)
-1.2%
On power play, Strome has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (77).
McCann shoots left. Strome is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Home / Away
McCann
Strome
Home
43.3% (60)
40.8% (363)
Away
43.5% (69)
45.5% (380)
By Period
McCann
Strome
P1
42.5%
43.0%
P2
40.4%
41.3%
P3
48.7%
45.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
43.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |