Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 51.1% vs Strome 47.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 74.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 52.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 66.0%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Bailey
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Bailey
Strome
Last 8: Bailey 6-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
0
Bailey
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bailey
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (236)
47.4% (635)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
57.4% (61)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.8% (71)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bailey is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Bailey shoots left. Strome is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Bailey
Strome
Home
55.0% (140)
50.7% (341)
Away
47.7% (132)
45.1% (426)
By Period
Bailey
Strome
P1
57.1%
47.5%
P2
50.0%
48.4%
P3
47.8%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |