Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.5% vs 41.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 45.9% vs Strome 42.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 62.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Kapanen
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kapanen
Strome
Last 5: Kapanen 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Kapanen
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (82)
41.2% (1,040)
-1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
43.0% (151)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
51.4% (35)
-5.9%
On power play, Kapanen has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kapanen is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Kapanen shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Strome
Home
35.1% (37)
40.1% (581)
Away
45.6% (57)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Kapanen
Strome
P1
37.0%
41.4%
P2
43.3%
42.9%
P3
43.2%
40.5%
Final 5 min
43.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Kasperi Kapanen |