Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 45.1% vs Strome 47.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 73.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 60.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 65.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Couture
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Couture
Strome
Last 6: Couture 5-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
3
0
Couture
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (385)
47.8% (813)
-3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
56.4% (133)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
32.7% (98)
-0.1%
On power play, Couture has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Couture is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Couture shoots left. Strome is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Couture
Strome
Home
48.5% (293)
47.5% (535)
Away
35.3% (150)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Couture
Strome
P1
42.6%
46.4%
P2
43.2%
48.3%
P3
45.5%
47.9%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
44.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Logan Couture |