Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.9% vs Strome 47.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 58.5%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 72.1%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 75.4%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Wallmark
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Wallmark
Strome
Last 8: Wallmark 6-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Wallmark
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
0
Wallmark
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (956)
47.4% (635)
+4.4%
Power Play
44.1% (59)
57.4% (61)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (114)
40.8% (71)
+6.6%
On power play, Strome has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Wallmark shoots left. Strome is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Strome
Home
52.5% (579)
50.7% (341)
Away
49.3% (550)
45.1% (426)
By Period
Wallmark
Strome
P1
54.4%
47.5%
P2
48.8%
48.4%
P3
50.1%
46.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2019 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |