Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rossi wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 58.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 54.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 62.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Rossi
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Rossi
Strome
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Rossi
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
5
4
Rossi
Strome
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
5
1
Rossi
Strome
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
44.1% (6,839)
+2.9%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
49.3% (854)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
41.5% (410)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Rossi shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Rossi
Strome
Home
47.8% (1,207)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Rossi
Strome
P1
47.3%
44.0%
P2
44.8%
45.3%
P3
48.3%
44.3%
OT
45.8%
46.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |