Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.1%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hartman wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Strome 46.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 66.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Hartman
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hartman
Strome
Last 7: Hartman 2-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Hartman
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Hartman
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Hartman
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
46.4% (371)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
43.3% (97)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
55.6% (18)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Hartman shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Hartman
Strome
Home
46.5% (361)
47.6% (225)
Away
47.3% (429)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Hartman
Strome
P1
45.1%
45.4%
P2
44.4%
47.6%
P3
50.9%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |