Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 51.0%). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — White shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs White 51.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.0%
Neutral zone
White 54.9%
Result
Ryan White favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kelly
White
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kelly
White
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
White
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
White
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
White
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.6% (1,030)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
66.7% (30)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
50.7% (148)
-6.0%
On power play, White has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
White shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. White is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Kelly
White
Home
52.6% (1,965)
53.5% (593)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
48.7% (618)
By Period
Kelly
White
P1
49.2%
52.4%
P2
49.1%
50.7%
P3
51.9%
49.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
White
48.0%▲
46.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |