Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Steen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 47.4% vs Koivu 51.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steen 72.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.9%
Neutral zone
Steen 57.5%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Steen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Steen
Koivu
Last 8: Steen 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Steen
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Steen
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steen
2
1
Steen
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (177)
52.5% (631)
-4.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
49.3% (73)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
47.6% (147)
-12.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Steen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Steen shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Steen
Koivu
Home
51.3% (117)
51.3% (431)
Away
39.1% (87)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Steen
Koivu
P1
47.1%
51.9%
P2
43.1%
52.9%
P3
47.8%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
41.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2013 | OT | 04:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |