Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Koivu 51.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 66.3%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 74.3%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 72.0%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Ebbett
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ebbett
Koivu
Last 8: Ebbett 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Ebbett
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Ebbett
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
52.5% (631)
-14.2%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
49.3% (73)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
47.6% (147)
-1.2%
On even strength, Koivu has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Ebbett is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Ebbett shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Koivu
Home
37.2% (121)
51.3% (431)
Away
41.8% (146)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Ebbett
Koivu
P1
45.5%
51.9%
P2
40.2%
52.9%
P3
35.1%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
33.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |