Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.8%). Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 58.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 56.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 58.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Boyle
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Boyle
Koivu
Last 6: Boyle 5-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
51.9% (3,221)
-0.2%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
59.3% (437)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
48.0% (764)
-1.8%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Boyle
Koivu
Home
52.2% (3,521)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Boyle
Koivu
P1
51.3%
51.1%
P2
51.1%
52.6%
P3
50.4%
51.8%
OT
55.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |