Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 48.8% vs Koivu 50.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 74.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.0%
Neutral zone
Wilson 53.7%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Wilson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wilson
Koivu
Last 6: Wilson 2-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
0
Wilson
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Wilson
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wilson
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (312)
50.4% (912)
-3.3%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
59.1% (44)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.8% (111)
-46.8%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Wilson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Wilson shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Wilson
Koivu
Home
44.4% (160)
51.5% (610)
Away
51.9% (183)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Wilson
Koivu
P1
49.2%
48.5%
P2
45.1%
51.5%
P3
50.6%
51.1%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |