Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Koivu 51.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 69.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 68.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.6%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Emmerton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Emmerton
Koivu
Last 10: Emmerton 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Emmerton
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Emmerton
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
52.5% (631)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
49.3% (73)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
47.6% (147)
+1.2%
On even strength, Koivu has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Emmerton is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Emmerton shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Koivu
Home
44.6% (213)
51.3% (431)
Away
46.0% (200)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Emmerton
Koivu
P1
46.3%
51.9%
P2
43.8%
52.9%
P3
45.7%
49.8%
Final 5 min
37.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |