Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Koivu 52.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 54.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.3%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Belanger
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Belanger
Koivu
Last 5: Belanger 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Belanger
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Belanger
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
52.2% (805)
+5.2%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
59.9% (152)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
49.0% (239)
+0.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Belanger
Koivu
Home
55.5% (519)
54.0% (639)
Away
55.1% (488)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Belanger
Koivu
P1
53.1%
52.7%
P2
58.0%
50.4%
P3
54.5%
54.1%
OT
63.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |