Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Christensen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Christensen wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 52.0% vs Koivu 52.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 68.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 76.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.5%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Christensen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Christensen
Koivu
Last 7: Christensen 6-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
0
Christensen
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Christensen
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
0
Christensen
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (255)
52.2% (805)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
59.9% (152)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
49.0% (239)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Christensen is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Christensen shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Christensen
Koivu
Home
57.8% (173)
54.0% (639)
Away
45.7% (129)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Christensen
Koivu
P1
49.6%
52.7%
P2
54.2%
50.4%
P3
53.7%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |