Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.2% vs Koivu 52.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 84.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 56.3%
Neutral zone
Iginla 55.7%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Iginla
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Iginla
Koivu
Last 9: Iginla 1-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Iginla
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
6
Iginla
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Iginla
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (307)
52.2% (805)
-0.7%
Power Play
45.4% (108)
59.9% (152)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
49.0% (239)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Iginla has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Iginla is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Iginla shoots right. Koivu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Iginla
Koivu
Home
53.0% (217)
54.0% (639)
Away
47.4% (209)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Iginla
Koivu
P1
53.1%
52.7%
P2
48.6%
50.4%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
OT
38.5%
47.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |