Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Koivu 52.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 60.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 77.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 60.2%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Carter
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Carter
Koivu
Last 8: Carter 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Carter
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Carter
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
52.7% (873)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
63.1% (168)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
47.9% (267)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Koivu is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Carter
Koivu
Home
55.0% (291)
56.7% (601)
Away
54.5% (314)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Carter
Koivu
P1
57.2%
51.2%
P2
46.6%
55.2%
P3
58.0%
51.3%
OT
77.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |