Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Slater wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 56.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.2%
Defensive zone
Slater 55.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 64.7%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Slater
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Slater
Koivu
Last 5: Slater 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Slater
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
1
0
Slater
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
1
0
Slater
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,983)
51.9% (3,221)
+7.0%
Power Play
65.2% (46)
59.3% (437)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (722)
48.0% (764)
+3.4%
On even strength, Slater has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Slater shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Slater
Koivu
Home
60.9% (1,436)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
52.7% (1,329)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Slater
Koivu
P1
57.0%
51.1%
P2
55.6%
52.6%
P3
58.4%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 6, 2013 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Jim Slater |