Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.8% vs Koivu 50.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 69.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 58.3%
Neutral zone
Colborne 57.0%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Colborne
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Colborne
Koivu
Last 6: Colborne 2-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Colborne
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Colborne
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Colborne
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
50.4% (912)
-1.8%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
59.1% (44)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
46.8% (111)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Colborne is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Colborne shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Colborne
Koivu
Home
53.9% (243)
51.5% (610)
Away
41.9% (198)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Colborne
Koivu
P1
48.3%
48.5%
P2
50.4%
51.5%
P3
47.3%
51.1%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |