Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Koivu 51.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 54.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 60.4%
Neutral zone
Vitale 56.9%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Vitale
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Vitale
Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
51.9% (3,221)
+4.0%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
59.3% (437)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
48.0% (764)
-0.9%
On power play, Vitale has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Vitale
Koivu
Home
56.1% (1,050)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Vitale
Koivu
P1
52.9%
51.1%
P2
53.8%
52.6%
P3
57.5%
51.8%
OT
72.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |