Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Kruger wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 46.9% vs Koivu 51.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 75.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 62.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 63.3%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Kruger
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kruger
Koivu
Last 6: Kruger 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kruger
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (334)
52.5% (631)
-2.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
49.3% (73)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
47.6% (147)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Kruger is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Kruger shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Kruger
Koivu
Home
51.8% (255)
51.3% (431)
Away
40.3% (238)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Kruger
Koivu
P1
50.3%
51.9%
P2
43.0%
52.9%
P3
44.7%
49.8%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |