Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Koivu 51.8% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Koivu 65.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Kastelic
Koivu
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
51.9% (3,221)
+5.1%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
59.3% (437)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
48.0% (764)
+5.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Koivu
Home
58.9% (895)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Kastelic
Koivu
P1
58.5%
51.1%
P2
56.9%
52.6%
P3
55.3%
51.8%
OT
53.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%