Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stajan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 46.7% vs Koivu 51.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 75.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 71.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 71.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Stajan
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Stajan
Koivu
Last 10: Stajan 2-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Stajan
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Stajan
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Stajan
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (615)
52.5% (631)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
49.3% (73)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (138)
47.6% (147)
-4.1%
On even strength, Koivu has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Stajan shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Stajan
Koivu
Home
45.6% (379)
51.3% (431)
Away
46.8% (391)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Stajan
Koivu
P1
44.2%
51.9%
P2
46.9%
52.9%
P3
47.7%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |