Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Handzus wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 54.4% vs Koivu 51.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 55.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.7%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Handzus
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Handzus
Koivu
Last 9: Handzus 4-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
3
Handzus
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Handzus
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Handzus
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (357)
52.5% (631)
+4.9%
Power Play
23.8% (21)
49.3% (73)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (48)
47.6% (147)
+6.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Handzus is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Handzus shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Handzus
Koivu
Home
57.7% (222)
51.3% (431)
Away
52.9% (204)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Handzus
Koivu
P1
63.0%
51.9%
P2
57.0%
52.9%
P3
50.3%
49.8%
OT
16.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
55.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |