Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.1% vs Koivu 52.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 62.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.8%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.4%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Spaling
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spaling
Koivu
Last 5: Spaling 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Spaling
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Spaling
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (756)
52.2% (805)
-2.5%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
59.9% (152)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (120)
49.0% (239)
+6.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Spaling shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Spaling
Koivu
Home
52.1% (476)
54.0% (639)
Away
47.8% (418)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Spaling
Koivu
P1
50.4%
52.7%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
54.1%
OT
60.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |