Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.9% vs Koivu 52.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 78.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 63.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 53.7%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Backstrom
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Backstrom
Koivu
Last 9: Backstrom 2-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Backstrom
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Backstrom
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Backstrom
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (496)
52.2% (805)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.6% (151)
59.9% (152)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
49.0% (239)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Backstrom is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Backstrom shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Koivu
Home
53.5% (368)
54.0% (639)
Away
48.3% (323)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Backstrom
Koivu
P1
49.1%
52.7%
P2
51.0%
50.4%
P3
53.5%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
48.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |