Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.8% vs Koivu 52.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 76.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 63.0%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Bergeron
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Bergeron
Koivu
Last 10: Bergeron 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Bergeron
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Bergeron
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
61.6% (1,186)
52.2% (805)
+9.4%
Power Play
52.2% (201)
59.9% (152)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (240)
49.0% (239)
+5.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Bergeron shoots right. Koivu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Koivu
Home
61.7% (828)
54.0% (639)
Away
56.8% (813)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Bergeron
Koivu
P1
58.5%
52.7%
P2
61.8%
50.4%
P3
57.8%
54.1%
OT
58.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
58.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |