Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Koivu 50.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 75.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 70.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 78.6%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Bergeron
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Bergeron
Koivu
Last 10: Bergeron 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Bergeron
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Bergeron
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
50.4% (912)
+9.0%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
59.1% (44)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
46.8% (111)
+8.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Bergeron shoots right. Koivu is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Koivu
Home
61.9% (837)
51.5% (610)
Away
55.5% (895)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Bergeron
Koivu
P1
60.1%
48.5%
P2
59.2%
51.5%
P3
56.6%
51.1%
OT
57.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |