Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Koivu 51.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 59.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 75.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.9%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Bergeron
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Bergeron
Koivu
Last 10: Bergeron 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
6
Bergeron
Koivu
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Bergeron
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
3
Bergeron
Koivu
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
51.9% (3,221)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
59.3% (437)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
48.0% (764)
+5.0%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Koivu
Home
61.2% (10,028)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Bergeron
Koivu
P1
59.3%
51.1%
P2
60.0%
52.6%
P3
58.6%
51.8%
OT
57.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |