Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.0%). Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 66.8%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 51.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Koivu
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Koivu
Pahlsson
Last 10: Koivu 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Pahlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
4
Koivu
Pahlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
5
Koivu
Pahlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (873)
51.8% (934)
+0.9%
Power Play
63.1% (168)
57.9% (19)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (267)
52.4% (332)
-4.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Koivu shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Koivu
Pahlsson
Home
56.7% (601)
56.5% (628)
Away
49.6% (738)
47.8% (670)
By Period
Koivu
Pahlsson
P1
51.2%
55.9%
P2
55.2%
49.4%
P3
51.3%
50.8%
OT
62.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:13 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |