Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.6%). Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 66.4%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 64.6%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 52.9%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Koivu
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Koivu
Pahlsson
Last 7: Koivu 5-2 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Pahlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
2
Koivu
Pahlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
54.3% (782)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
62.5% (16)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
45.8% (216)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Koivu shoots left. Pahlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Koivu
Pahlsson
Home
54.0% (639)
51.8% (508)
Away
50.7% (594)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Koivu
Pahlsson
P1
52.7%
52.8%
P2
50.4%
52.1%
P3
54.1%
53.0%
OT
47.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |