Scouting Report
Scott Gomez holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.2% vs Gomez 54.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 82.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 60.0%
Neutral zone
Gomez 58.3%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Koivu
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Koivu
Gomez
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Koivu
Gomez
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
2
Koivu
Gomez
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Gomez
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (631)
56.7% (261)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.3% (73)
52.4% (63)
-3.1%
On even strength, Gomez has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Koivu shoots left. Gomez is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gomez
Home
51.3% (431)
58.4% (178)
Away
51.4% (420)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Koivu
Gomez
P1
51.9%
53.4%
P2
52.9%
51.9%
P3
49.8%
60.4%
OT
41.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |