Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Nichol 58.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 72.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 70.0%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Koivu
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Koivu
Nichol
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
2
6
Koivu
Nichol
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
2
4
Koivu
Nichol
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
59.0% (948)
-7.1%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
42.9% (14)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
59.5% (185)
-11.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Koivu shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Koivu
Nichol
Home
53.5% (2,281)
59.7% (576)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Koivu
Nichol
P1
51.1%
58.4%
P2
52.6%
57.3%
P3
51.8%
61.1%
OT
52.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |