Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Nichol 56.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 61.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 71.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 65.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Koivu
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Koivu
Nichol
Last 6: Koivu 2-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
3
Koivu
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
58.0% (371)
-5.8%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
25.0% (4)
+34.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
57.3% (75)
-8.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Koivu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Koivu shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Koivu
Nichol
Home
54.0% (639)
58.6% (215)
Away
50.7% (594)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Koivu
Nichol
P1
52.7%
56.1%
P2
50.4%
58.4%
P3
54.1%
57.8%
OT
47.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |