Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 61.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Koivu
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Koivu
Stamkos
Last 8: Koivu 3-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Koivu
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Koivu
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
45.6% (1,055)
+6.6%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
46.6% (116)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
42.1% (38)
+6.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Koivu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Koivu shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Koivu
Stamkos
Home
54.0% (639)
48.4% (636)
Away
50.7% (594)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Koivu
Stamkos
P1
52.7%
45.7%
P2
50.4%
46.8%
P3
54.1%
43.7%
OT
47.8%
48.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |