Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pyatt on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Pyatt 46.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pyatt 59.6%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 58.1%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 62.1%
Result
Tom Pyatt favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Koivu
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Koivu
Pyatt
Last 6: Koivu 2-4 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Pyatt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
3
Koivu
Pyatt
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
47.2% (922)
+4.7%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
55.0% (20)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
42.0% (174)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Koivu shoots left. Pyatt is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Koivu
Pyatt
Home
53.5% (2,281)
48.0% (598)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
45.0% (524)
By Period
Koivu
Pyatt
P1
51.1%
47.1%
P2
52.6%
47.6%
P3
51.8%
45.2%
OT
52.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |