Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pyatt on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Pyatt 46.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pyatt 57.1%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 63.9%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 58.0%
Result
Tom Pyatt favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Koivu
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Koivu
Pyatt
Last 6: Koivu 2-4 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Pyatt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
3
Koivu
Pyatt
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
46.8% (231)
+5.4%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
41.7% (12)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
35.3% (34)
+13.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Koivu shoots left. Pyatt is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Koivu
Pyatt
Home
54.0% (639)
44.0% (175)
Away
50.7% (594)
48.1% (106)
By Period
Koivu
Pyatt
P1
52.7%
41.4%
P2
50.4%
47.1%
P3
54.1%
48.0%
OT
47.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |