Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Fiddler 50.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 56.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Koivu
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Koivu
Fiddler
Last 8: Koivu 7-1 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
51.3% (840)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
60.0% (15)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
47.8% (186)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Koivu shoots left. Fiddler is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Koivu
Fiddler
Home
54.0% (639)
53.0% (530)
Away
50.7% (594)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Koivu
Fiddler
P1
52.7%
53.3%
P2
50.4%
50.4%
P3
54.1%
48.2%
OT
47.8%
85.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |