Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Leino 43.9% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 55.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 85.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 80.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Koivu
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Koivu
Leino
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Leino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Koivu
Leino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
42.6% (209)
+9.6%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
25.0% (12)
+34.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
40.0% (5)
+9.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Koivu shoots left. Leino is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Koivu
Leino
Home
54.0% (639)
41.2% (102)
Away
50.7% (594)
41.4% (128)
By Period
Koivu
Leino
P1
52.7%
38.8%
P2
50.4%
42.7%
P3
54.1%
42.3%
OT
47.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |