Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.1%). Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Bennett 47.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 51.7%
Defensive zone
Shaw 57.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 50.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Shaw
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Bennett
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Shaw
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
46.0% (326)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
50.0% (18)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
33.3% (3)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Bennett is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Shaw
Bennett
Home
49.4% (160)
50.4% (129)
Away
43.5% (154)
43.6% (218)
By Period
Shaw
Bennett
P1
46.2%
52.9%
P2
45.9%
38.9%
P3
47.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |