Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 62.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 52.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 53.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Brassard
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Brassard
Bennett
Last 9: Brassard 3-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Brassard
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
5
Brassard
Bennett
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
45.5% (756)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
63.0% (92)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
31.0% (29)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bennett
Home
52.1% (211)
46.5% (456)
Away
49.6% (119)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Brassard
Bennett
P1
47.3%
46.6%
P2
56.6%
50.5%
P3
47.8%
43.5%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |