Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwartz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 48.8% vs Bennett 46.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 76.6%
Defensive zone
Bennett 56.1%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 60.7%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Schwartz
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schwartz
Bennett
Last 6: Schwartz 4-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
2
1
Schwartz
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwartz
2
1
Schwartz
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (101)
46.3% (737)
+3.2%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
40.0% (25)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
46.9% (49)
+3.1%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Schwartz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Schwartz shoots left. Bennett is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Bennett
Home
51.4% (72)
48.1% (437)
Away
44.1% (68)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Schwartz
Bennett
P1
48.6%
47.3%
P2
47.7%
44.2%
P3
47.3%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
47.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |