Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 59.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 96.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 76.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Beagle
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Beagle
Bennett
Last 9: Beagle 9-0 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
45.5% (756)
+11.7%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
63.0% (92)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
31.0% (29)
+20.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bennett
Home
62.0% (200)
46.5% (456)
Away
53.4% (264)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Beagle
Bennett
P1
55.8%
46.6%
P2
60.1%
50.5%
P3
54.5%
43.5%
OT
62.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |