Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sgarbossa on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 45.4% vs Bennett 46.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 62.6%
Defensive zone
Bennett 59.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 62.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Last 6: Sgarbossa 4-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sgarbossa
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
3
1
Sgarbossa
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (296)
46.3% (737)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
40.0% (25)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
46.9% (49)
-46.9%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Sgarbossa is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Bennett is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Bennett
Home
44.3% (185)
48.1% (437)
Away
43.4% (129)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Bennett
P1
43.2%
47.3%
P2
49.1%
44.2%
P3
39.6%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |