Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 51.2% vs Bennett 47.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 88.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 84.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 50.3%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Carpenter
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Carpenter
Bennett
Last 7: Carpenter 3-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
0
Carpenter
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carpenter
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Carpenter
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (299)
45.5% (756)
+7.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
63.0% (92)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (86)
31.0% (29)
+15.5%
On power play, Bennett has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Carpenter shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Bennett
Home
54.6% (207)
46.5% (456)
Away
48.1% (181)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Carpenter
Bennett
P1
52.3%
46.6%
P2
51.5%
50.5%
P3
50.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |